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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.59+2.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.35+1.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+0.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+0.34vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.01-0.99vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.68vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.65-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.5924.2%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University1.3519.1%1st Place
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3.41Brown University1.3418.4%1st Place
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4.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.5%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University1.0112.6%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University0.9710.4%1st Place
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5.51Northeastern University0.654.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.2% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 19.1% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Grant Adam | 18.4% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Celia Houston | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 15.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 10.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 15.7% |
| Carter Brock | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.