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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.06+6.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.09+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.49vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+5.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.90+2.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-2.82vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.50+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.38+2.96vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.50-0.86vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-5.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.31-2.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.37-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-2.06vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.55-3.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-11.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32University of Southern California1.060.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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9.07California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
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9.14California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.14California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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5.95Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pravan Chugani | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 22.6% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 18.6% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 28.2% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.