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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.59+1.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+0.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+0.32vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65+0.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.01-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Tufts University1.3518.4%1st Place
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3.01University of Rhode Island1.5923.0%1st Place
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3.41Brown University1.3418.9%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.9%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University0.655.6%1st Place
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4.36Salve Regina University0.9710.0%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University1.0113.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Wallace | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 5.2% |
Ben Rosenberg | 23.0% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Grant Adam | 18.9% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
Celia Houston | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
Carter Brock | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 42.4% |
Olivia Lowthian | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
Luke Hosek | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.