← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+3.53vs Predicted
-
2California State University Monterey Bay0.84+4.41vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.71+0.94vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.40+0.88vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+2.97vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+3.00vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.13+1.92vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.84-1.59vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.33+1.30vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.04-0.91vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University0.77-4.32vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-0.44-1.31vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy0.09-4.05vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California0.42-6.20vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.36-4.65vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.44vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
-
6.41California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
-
3.94University of California at Berkeley1.710.2%1st Place
-
4.88University of California at Berkeley1.400.1%1st Place
-
7.97University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.92University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
-
6.41California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
-
10.3University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
-
9.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
-
6.68Santa Clara University0.770.1%1st Place
-
10.69University of California at Davis-0.440.0%1st Place
-
8.95California Poly Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
-
7.8University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
-
12.56University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
13.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remy Margerum | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 20.7% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Goodman | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annalisa Smullin | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Pentith | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Sota | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 48.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.