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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.59+1.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+1.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.01-0.97vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.65-0.59vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Tufts University1.3516.9%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island1.5924.5%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.8%1st Place
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3.48Brown University1.3417.2%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University1.0113.2%1st Place
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5.41Northeastern University0.656.0%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University0.9711.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 16.9% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.5% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Celia Houston | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| Grant Adam | 17.2% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 11.1% |
| Carter Brock | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 43.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.