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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.37vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.88-0.02vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.62+1.08vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.36vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.91-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85-1.47vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.92-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1515.7%1st Place
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1.98Virginia Tech0.8845.9%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.6210.9%1st Place
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4.36American University-0.868.2%1st Place
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4.6Penn State University-0.917.4%1st Place
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4.53University of Maryland-0.857.8%1st Place
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6.25Catholic University of America-1.922.4%1st Place
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6.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.361.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langdon Wallace | 15.7% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Riecker | 45.9% | 27.3% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 5.6% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Christian Aron | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 20.8% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.