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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.72-0.42vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-0.33+1.91vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.07+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.49-1.92vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.93-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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1.58Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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4.91Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.38Middlebury College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.37University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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5.08University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.61Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Russell | 31.5% | 40.2% | 20.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Pesch | 56.5% | 31.7% | 9.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keaton Burns | 3.1% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 18.7% |
| Scott Zolkos | 2.7% | 7.9% | 18.6% | 23.9% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 8.2% |
| Whit Durant | 2.9% | 7.4% | 20.3% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 9.2% |
| William Trumper | 1.9% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 22.5% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.4% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.