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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+1.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.01+1.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+0.30vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65+0.53vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.59-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Tufts University1.3518.9%1st Place
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3.47Brown University1.3417.9%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University1.0112.6%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8112.0%1st Place
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5.53Northeastern University0.654.6%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University0.9710.8%1st Place
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3.06University of Rhode Island1.5923.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
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Matthew Wallace | 18.9% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
Grant Adam | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
Luke Hosek | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 10.6% |
Celia Houston | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
Carter Brock | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 47.2% |
Olivia Lowthian | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
Ben Rosenberg | 23.2% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.