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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.36vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+2.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.59-0.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.34-1.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-1.59vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Tufts University1.3519.9%1st Place
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4.02Roger Williams University1.0112.3%1st Place
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5.43Northeastern University0.654.8%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.5922.1%1st Place
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3.37Brown University1.3419.7%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8111.1%1st Place
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4.31Salve Regina University0.9710.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Wallace | 19.9% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
Luke Hosek | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 11.2% |
Carter Brock | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 42.0% |
Ben Rosenberg | 22.1% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
Grant Adam | 19.7% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
Celia Houston | 11.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 18.6% |
Olivia Lowthian | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.