← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.35+2.39vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.59+0.93vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.65+2.35vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.28-0.38vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.03-1.07vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.97-1.64vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39Tufts University1.3518.7%1st Place
-
2.93University of Rhode Island1.5925.6%1st Place
-
5.35Northeastern University0.655.2%1st Place
-
3.62Brown University1.2816.1%1st Place
-
3.93Roger Williams University1.0314.4%1st Place
-
4.36Salve Regina University0.9710.0%1st Place
-
4.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Wallace | 18.7% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
Ben Rosenberg | 25.6% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
Carter Brock | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 41.1% |
Severin Gramm | 16.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.6% |
Emmett Nevel | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
Olivia Lowthian | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
Celia Houston | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.