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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+1.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.39vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+0.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.03-0.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.59-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Tufts University1.3518.2%1st Place
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3.56Brown University1.2817.4%1st Place
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5.39Northeastern University0.655.6%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University0.9712.6%1st Place
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4.05Roger Williams University1.0312.3%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.7%1st Place
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3.01University of Rhode Island1.5923.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
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Matthew Wallace | 18.2% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
Severin Gramm | 17.4% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
Carter Brock | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 42.8% |
Olivia Lowthian | 12.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
Emmett Nevel | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
Celia Houston | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
Ben Rosenberg | 23.2% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.