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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.84+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.79+4.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+4.61vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.77+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.01+2.17vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.84-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.87-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.42-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.22-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.04-4.11vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.09-5.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.36-5.61vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley0.790.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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6.5Santa Clara University0.770.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.99California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Berkeley0.870.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Southern California0.420.1%1st Place
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10.26University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Davis-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
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8.66California Poly Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Smith | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 18.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Arlen | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Pentith | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Sota | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 17.4% | 48.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.