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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+3.17vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.84+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.79+3.28vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.77+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+3.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.01+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.87-2.12vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.09-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.22-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.04-3.09vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.84-6.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.36-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.42-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
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6.06California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Berkeley0.790.1%1st Place
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6.5Santa Clara University0.770.1%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley0.870.1%1st Place
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8.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Davis-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
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6.06California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Southern California0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remy Margerum | 19.9% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Pentith | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Arlen | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Sota | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.