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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.59+1.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.03+2.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+1.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28-0.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.35-1.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.65-0.60vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Rhode Island1.5924.7%1st Place
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4.05Roger Williams University1.0313.2%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University1.2816.1%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University1.3518.8%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University0.655.7%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University0.9711.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.7% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Emmett Nevel | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 11.8% |
| Celia Houston | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| Severin Gramm | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 18.8% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Carter Brock | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 43.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.