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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+7.47vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University0.77+4.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+4.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.79+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.42+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.01+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.33+3.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.04+0.79vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.09-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.22-0.06vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.84-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.36-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-0.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.87-8.95vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.84-9.86vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-12.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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6.3Santa Clara University0.770.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Berkeley0.790.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Southern California0.420.1%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.040.0%1st Place
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8.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Davis-0.220.0%1st Place
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6.14California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Berkeley0.870.1%1st Place
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6.14California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Christensen | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| William Burke | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Boyden | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Pentith | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Arlen | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Sota | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 18.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.