← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.03+2.99vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.35+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.28+0.55vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University0.97+0.23vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.65+0.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.59-3.01vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.99Roger Williams University1.0314.0%1st Place
-
3.42Tufts University1.3519.6%1st Place
-
3.55Brown University1.2816.7%1st Place
-
4.23Salve Regina University0.9710.8%1st Place
-
5.44Northeastern University0.655.7%1st Place
-
2.99University of Rhode Island1.5923.3%1st Place
-
4.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emmett Nevel | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
Matthew Wallace | 19.6% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
Severin Gramm | 16.7% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
Olivia Lowthian | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
Carter Brock | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 43.4% |
Ben Rosenberg | 23.3% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
Celia Houston | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.