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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+1.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.59-0.99vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65+0.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.03-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Tufts University1.3517.2%1st Place
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3.56Brown University1.2817.3%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.7%1st Place
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3.01University of Rhode Island1.5923.3%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University0.654.7%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University0.9712.6%1st Place
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3.97Roger Williams University1.0314.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 17.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Severin Gramm | 17.3% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Celia Houston | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 23.3% | 22.7% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Carter Brock | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 43.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| Emmett Nevel | 14.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.