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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.03+0.93vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59-0.39vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.23+1.19vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-1.74-0.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93University of Rhode Island1.0335.6%1st Place
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1.61Northeastern University1.5952.8%1st Place
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4.19University of New Hampshire-1.233.1%1st Place
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3.94Middlebury College-0.844.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Vermont-1.742.0%1st Place
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4.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 35.6% | 41.2% | 18.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 52.8% | 34.8% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.1% | 6.6% | 20.4% | 26.9% | 24.9% | 18.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.0% | 8.8% | 24.4% | 27.4% | 23.2% | 12.3% |
| Sawyer Bouley | 2.0% | 3.5% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 24.1% | 40.8% |
| Norman Walker | 2.5% | 5.1% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 26.8% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.