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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.65+2.56vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University1.14+0.92vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.50-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.40-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.34-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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4.56University of Minnesota0.650.0%1st Place
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3.92Ohio State University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.42Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 55.9% | 26.6% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Ellis | 3.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 40.8% |
| Devin Copfer | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 18.9% |
| Najwa Jumali | 12.0% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 9.8% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 15.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 9.6% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.