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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.07+1.08vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.33+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+1.36vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.07-0.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.72-4.41vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.49-1.88vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-0.93-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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4.9Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.36University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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4.38Middlebury College0.070.0%1st Place
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1.59Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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5.12University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.58Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Russell | 30.3% | 42.3% | 19.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Keaton Burns | 2.3% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 21.2% | 22.4% | 17.5% |
| Whit Durant | 4.6% | 6.2% | 19.7% | 22.6% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 9.1% |
| Scott Zolkos | 3.8% | 6.5% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 8.8% |
| Meghan Pesch | 55.7% | 32.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Trumper | 1.6% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.7% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.