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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.42vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.88-0.02vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.91+1.70vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.62+0.14vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85-1.61vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.92-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1515.0%1st Place
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1.98Virginia Tech0.8847.0%1st Place
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4.7Penn State University-0.917.0%1st Place
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4.14William and Mary-0.629.2%1st Place
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4.33American University-0.869.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Maryland-0.858.0%1st Place
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6.21Catholic University of America-1.922.9%1st Place
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6.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.361.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langdon Wallace | 15.0% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Robert Riecker | 47.0% | 26.6% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 14.9% | 5.3% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 3.6% |
| Christian Aron | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 29.2% | 29.9% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.