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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.030.00vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.23+1.18vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-1.74-0.15vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Northeastern University1.5955.0%1st Place
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2.0University of Rhode Island1.0331.5%1st Place
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4.18University of New Hampshire-1.233.6%1st Place
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3.86Middlebury College-0.845.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Vermont-1.742.4%1st Place
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4.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 55.0% | 33.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 31.5% | 44.0% | 18.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.6% | 6.2% | 20.4% | 26.4% | 24.9% | 18.3% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.0% | 8.2% | 26.2% | 28.0% | 21.2% | 11.2% |
| Sawyer Bouley | 2.4% | 3.4% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 25.6% | 41.9% |
| Norman Walker | 2.5% | 4.9% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 27.2% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.