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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.34+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.65+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.40-0.42vs Predicted
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5Indiana University1.50-1.45vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University1.14-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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3.61University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Minnesota0.650.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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3.55Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.97Ohio State University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 55.2% | 26.9% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 10.2% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| Sarah Ellis | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 39.7% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 11.1% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 11.7% |
| Najwa Jumali | 11.0% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| Devin Copfer | 6.9% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.