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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.03+0.99vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59-0.34vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.23+1.14vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84-0.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.74-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Rhode Island1.0334.5%1st Place
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1.66Northeastern University1.5950.7%1st Place
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4.14University of New Hampshire-1.234.6%1st Place
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3.9Middlebury College-0.845.1%1st Place
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4.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.483.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Vermont-1.741.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 34.5% | 40.0% | 18.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 50.7% | 36.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 4.6% | 6.2% | 21.1% | 25.5% | 24.1% | 18.5% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.1% | 8.5% | 24.1% | 27.6% | 23.0% | 11.7% |
| Norman Walker | 3.0% | 4.7% | 14.6% | 22.4% | 26.9% | 28.4% |
| Sawyer Bouley | 1.9% | 4.3% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.