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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+2.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.85+1.26vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.91+0.48vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.62-1.07vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.91vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.92-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Virginia Tech-0.2021.5%1st Place
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3.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1522.5%1st Place
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4.26University of Maryland-0.8512.0%1st Place
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4.48Penn State University-0.9110.7%1st Place
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3.93William and Mary-0.6214.3%1st Place
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4.09American University-0.8612.3%1st Place
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6.18Catholic University of America-1.923.6%1st Place
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6.68University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.363.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 21.5% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.5% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 3.7% |
| Erich Laughlin | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| Christian Aron | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 25.8% | 32.2% |
| Grace Hartman | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 20.2% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.