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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.07+1.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.72-0.41vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.49+0.20vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.33-1.08vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.93-2.32vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.07-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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1.59Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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5.2University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.92Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.68Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.22Middlebury College0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Russell | 31.2% | 41.5% | 18.5% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 55.9% | 32.4% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 4.5% | 6.3% | 20.3% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
| William Trumper | 1.1% | 3.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 25.4% | 23.5% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.8% | 5.5% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 19.2% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.1% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 42.1% |
| Scott Zolkos | 4.4% | 8.0% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.