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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.17+3.02vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.33+1.79vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.46vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28-0.07vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.02-0.62vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.16-1.29vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.52-1.52vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.05-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.79Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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3.46Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.93Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.38Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.71Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.48Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.24Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gates | 14.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Jack Greve | 21.6% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| David Mirkhaef | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Nick Lane | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Montana Pruett | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| Erin Wilson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.