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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.28+2.81vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+2.42vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.71vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.52+1.45vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.51-1.55vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.33-2.22vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.17-2.86vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.05-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.42Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.71Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.45Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.45Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.78Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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4.14Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.23Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Reeg | 17.4% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| David Mirkhaef | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Nick Lane | 10.5% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% |
| Montana Pruett | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 22.8% |
| Jack Greve | 18.3% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| David Gates | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Erin Wilson | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.