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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.04+1.51vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.25+0.80vs Predicted
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3American University0.05-0.56vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.79-0.41vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.73-0.36vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.61-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Christopher Newport University0.0428.5%1st Place
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2.8Virginia Tech-0.2521.8%1st Place
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2.44American University0.0529.8%1st Place
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3.59Princeton University-0.7911.7%1st Place
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4.64Unknown School-1.734.7%1st Place
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5.03William and Mary-1.613.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gail Schneider | 28.5% | 25.9% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.8% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Karl Wagerson | 29.8% | 25.0% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 22.1% | 8.8% |
| Luca Hokaj | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 31.1% | 34.5% |
| Levi Nathans | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 24.6% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.