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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.17+3.08vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.33+1.83vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.58vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.02+0.43vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.52+0.45vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.05+0.25vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.51-3.44vs Predicted
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8Hope College0.28-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.83Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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4.58Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.43Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.45Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.25Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
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3.56Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.82Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gates | 12.8% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 16.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Joel Florek | 11.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.7% |
| David Mirkhaef | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| Montana Pruett | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 19.9% |
| Erin Wilson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 44.1% |
| Jack Greve | 20.5% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Libby Reeg | 16.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.