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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University0.05+1.58vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.25+0.88vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.04-0.37vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.79-0.33vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.73-0.24vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.42-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58American University0.0528.3%1st Place
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2.88Virginia Tech-0.2521.1%1st Place
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2.63Christopher Newport University0.0425.7%1st Place
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3.67Princeton University-0.7912.7%1st Place
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4.76Unknown School-1.735.7%1st Place
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4.47William and Mary-1.426.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Wagerson | 28.3% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.1% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Gail Schneider | 25.7% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 12.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 13.2% |
| Luca Hokaj | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 23.4% | 45.1% |
| Audrey Craig | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 27.5% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.