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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.33+2.77vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+2.41vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+0.93vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University0.17+0.14vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.05+1.36vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.52-0.62vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.51-3.42vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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4.41Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.93Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.14Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.36Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.38Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.58Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.44Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vytenis Karaitis | 15.9% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| David Mirkhaef | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 16.2% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| David Gates | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% |
| Erin Wilson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 43.5% |
| Montana Pruett | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 21.4% |
| Jack Greve | 19.4% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Joel Florek | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.