← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.89vs Predicted
-
2American University0.05+0.55vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.04-0.42vs Predicted
-
4Unknown School-1.73+0.84vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary-1.42-0.57vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.79-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Virginia Tech-0.2521.7%1st Place
-
2.55American University0.0528.3%1st Place
-
2.58Christopher Newport University0.0427.3%1st Place
-
4.84Unknown School-1.734.7%1st Place
-
4.43William and Mary-1.426.6%1st Place
-
3.72Princeton University-0.7911.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.7% | 22.7% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Karl Wagerson | 28.3% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 27.3% | 24.3% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Luca Hokaj | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 22.0% | 48.0% |
| Audrey Craig | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 27.0% | 31.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.