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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.28+2.79vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+2.77vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02+1.38vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.52+1.44vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.51-1.56vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.17-1.93vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.33-3.14vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.05-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.77Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.38Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.44Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.44Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.07Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.86Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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6.24Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Reeg | 17.3% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Nick Lane | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% |
| David Mirkhaef | 12.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Montana Pruett | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 21.6% |
| Jack Greve | 18.8% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| David Gates | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Erin Wilson | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.