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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.16+3.69vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University0.17+2.11vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02+1.39vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.51-0.49vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.33-1.20vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-2.15vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.05-0.64vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.52-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.11Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.39Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.51Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.8Western Michigan University0.330.1%1st Place
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3.85Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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6.36Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.32Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lane | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 11.0% |
| David Gates | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| David Mirkhaef | 13.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 8.4% |
| Jack Greve | 19.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 14.8% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Erin Wilson | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 45.9% |
| Montana Pruett | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.