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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.81vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.79+1.55vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.04-0.53vs Predicted
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4American University0.05-1.49vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.73-0.37vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.61-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Virginia Tech-0.2521.7%1st Place
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3.55Princeton University-0.7912.8%1st Place
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2.47Christopher Newport University0.0428.3%1st Place
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2.51American University0.0528.4%1st Place
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4.63Unknown School-1.735.6%1st Place
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5.03William and Mary-1.613.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.7% | 23.2% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 12.8% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 24.6% | 22.1% | 8.6% |
| Gail Schneider | 28.3% | 27.2% | 22.1% | 15.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Karl Wagerson | 28.4% | 25.6% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Luca Hokaj | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 32.3% | 33.7% |
| Levi Nathans | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 23.8% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.