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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.05+5.30vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.33+1.85vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.48vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.57vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.52+0.46vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.17-1.92vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.28-3.04vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.02-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
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3.85Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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3.48Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.57Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.46Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.08Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.96Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.28Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Wilson | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 44.2% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Jack Greve | 19.9% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Joel Florek | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Montana Pruett | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 22.3% |
| David Gates | 14.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 17.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| David Mirkhaef | 13.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.