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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.79vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.04+0.53vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.79+0.50vs Predicted
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4American University0.05-1.52vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.73-0.36vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.61-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Virginia Tech-0.2521.6%1st Place
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2.53Christopher Newport University0.0426.2%1st Place
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3.5Princeton University-0.7913.7%1st Place
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2.48American University0.0530.5%1st Place
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4.64Unknown School-1.734.9%1st Place
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5.05William and Mary-1.613.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.6% | 23.2% | 24.0% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Gail Schneider | 26.2% | 27.2% | 23.3% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 13.7% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 9.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 30.5% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Luca Hokaj | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 31.9% | 34.2% |
| Levi Nathans | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 25.3% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.