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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.17+3.08vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+1.50vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.33+0.86vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.02-0.56vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.52-0.60vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.05-0.65vs Predicted
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8Hope College0.28-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.5Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.86Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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4.57Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.44Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.4Michigan State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.35Michigan State University-1.050.0%1st Place
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3.81Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gates | 13.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Jack Greve | 19.8% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 16.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Joel Florek | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| David Mirkhaef | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
| Montana Pruett | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Erin Wilson | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 45.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 16.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.