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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+2.01vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+0.64vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.04-0.41vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.79-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.87+0.34vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.73-0.89vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.61-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Virginia Tech-0.2521.1%1st Place
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2.64American University0.0527.3%1st Place
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2.59Christopher Newport University0.0427.4%1st Place
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3.76Princeton University-0.7912.4%1st Place
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5.34University of Maryland-1.873.5%1st Place
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5.11Unknown School-1.734.3%1st Place
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5.55William and Mary-1.614.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 21.1% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 27.3% | 23.9% | 23.0% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Gail Schneider | 27.4% | 26.1% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 12.4% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 29.2% |
| Luca Hokaj | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 26.0% | 24.3% |
| Levi Nathans | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.