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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-1.13+3.73vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.81+2.22vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34-0.70vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.01+0.60vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.58+0.67vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.83-1.82vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.93-2.52vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.77-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.22Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.3Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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4.6Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.67Northern Michigan University-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.18Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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4.48Western Michigan University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.82Michigan State University-1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Jepeal | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% |
| Charles Rysenga | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Mabie | 39.3% | 24.5% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Twohey | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% |
| Evan Hardy | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 25.2% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 12.0% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% |
| Spencer Gillette | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 8.4% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.