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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College-0.33+3.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+0.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.72-1.44vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.07+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10-0.64vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.93-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.49-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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2.09Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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1.56Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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4.42Middlebury College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.36University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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5.73Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.02University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Burns | 2.8% | 5.0% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Russell | 29.3% | 43.1% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 57.7% | 31.9% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Zolkos | 3.0% | 6.3% | 19.0% | 23.4% | 23.0% | 16.3% | 9.0% |
| Whit Durant | 3.2% | 7.3% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.2% | 1.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 20.7% | 43.7% |
| William Trumper | 2.8% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 27.2% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.