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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+2.16vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.62+1.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.85+0.30vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.91-0.51vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.29vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.92-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Virginia Tech-0.2022.3%1st Place
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3.91William and Mary-0.6214.9%1st Place
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3.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1522.9%1st Place
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4.3University of Maryland-0.8511.8%1st Place
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4.49Penn State University-0.919.8%1st Place
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4.12American University-0.8611.6%1st Place
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6.71University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.362.9%1st Place
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6.15Catholic University of America-1.923.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 22.3% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.9% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Erich Laughlin | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 21.7% | 49.6% |
| Christian Aron | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 25.5% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.