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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.01+3.49vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.13+2.82vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34-0.70vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.81+0.23vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.58+0.66vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.93-1.64vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.83-2.71vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.77-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.82Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.3Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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4.23Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.66Northern Michigan University-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.36Western Michigan University-0.930.1%1st Place
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4.29Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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5.85Michigan State University-1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Twohey | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% |
| Kevin Jepeal | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Mabie | 39.0% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Rysenga | 11.4% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Evan Hardy | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 24.9% |
| Spencer Gillette | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.