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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+1.25vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.30-0.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.09vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02-0.92vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.55-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Fairfield University0.4213.2%1st Place
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3.25University of New Hampshire0.6819.9%1st Place
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2.88Maine Maritime Academy0.3024.8%1st Place
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2.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7225.1%1st Place
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4.08Bates College0.0210.4%1st Place
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5.47Middlebury College-0.553.5%1st Place
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5.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 13.2% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 19.9% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Mott Blair | 24.8% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 25.1% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 26.2% | 35.4% |
| Kai Latham | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.