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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+1.32vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.30-0.08vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42-0.47vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02-0.86vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.55-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7224.9%1st Place
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3.32University of New Hampshire0.6818.4%1st Place
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2.92Maine Maritime Academy0.3022.9%1st Place
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3.53Fairfield University0.4216.1%1st Place
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4.14Bates College0.0210.1%1st Place
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5.39Middlebury College-0.554.5%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Egeli | 24.9% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Grace Cannon | 18.4% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
Mott Blair | 22.9% | 22.7% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
Nolan Cooper | 16.1% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
Jack Valentino | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 9.2% |
Nicholas Leshaw | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 28.8% | 33.4% |
Kai Latham | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 21.9% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.