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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.18vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.93+2.23vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.01+1.39vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.77+1.76vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.13-0.38vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.58-0.61vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.81-2.93vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.58-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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4.23Western Michigan University-0.930.1%1st Place
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4.39Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.76Michigan State University-1.770.1%1st Place
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4.62Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.39Northern Michigan University-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.07Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.36Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 41.2% | 27.6% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Gillette | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Twohey | 9.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 29.2% |
| Kevin Jepeal | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% |
| Evan Hardy | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 22.4% |
| Charles Rysenga | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| John Stack | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.