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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.19vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.77+3.80vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.93+1.22vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.01+0.40vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.58+0.45vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.13-1.44vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.58-1.52vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.81-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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5.8Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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4.22Western Michigan University-0.930.1%1st Place
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4.4Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.45Hope College-1.580.1%1st Place
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4.56Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.48Northern Michigan University-1.580.1%1st Place
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3.9Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 40.5% | 27.7% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 28.7% |
| Spencer Gillette | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Twohey | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| John Stack | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| Kevin Jepeal | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% |
| Evan Hardy | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 23.8% |
| Charles Rysenga | 12.5% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.