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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.95vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.30-0.03vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.02+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-1.78vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.55-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Fairfield University0.4215.9%1st Place
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2.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7224.3%1st Place
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2.97Maine Maritime Academy0.3022.4%1st Place
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4.14Bates College0.0210.5%1st Place
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3.22University of New Hampshire0.6819.9%1st Place
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5.43Middlebury College-0.553.8%1st Place
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5.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Cooper | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
Tyler Egeli | 24.3% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
Mott Blair | 22.4% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
Jack Valentino | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 9.3% |
Grace Cannon | 19.9% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
Nicholas Leshaw | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 26.4% | 35.3% |
Kai Latham | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 24.4% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.