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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.15vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.81+1.99vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.83+1.01vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.01+0.38vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.58+0.42vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.13-1.47vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.84-1.12vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.77-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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3.99Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.01Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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4.38Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.42Northern Michigan University-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.53Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.88Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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5.65Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 42.2% | 26.5% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Rysenga | 11.9% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Twohey | 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Evan Hardy | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| Kevin Jepeal | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
| Elliott Klose | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 30.4% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.