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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+2.27vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.50vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.30-0.03vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.02+0.15vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.55+0.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.99vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of New Hampshire0.6817.3%1st Place
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3.5Fairfield University0.4216.7%1st Place
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2.97Maine Maritime Academy0.3022.2%1st Place
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4.15Bates College0.0210.5%1st Place
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5.45Middlebury College-0.554.5%1st Place
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3.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7224.7%1st Place
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5.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 17.3% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.7% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Mott Blair | 22.2% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 8.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 25.1% | 36.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 24.7% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 24.8% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.