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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+0.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.41vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.55+1.01vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02-1.29vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-1.22-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Fairfield University0.4218.8%1st Place
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2.79University of New Hampshire0.6825.8%1st Place
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2.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7229.6%1st Place
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5.01Middlebury College-0.554.4%1st Place
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3.71Bates College0.0212.4%1st Place
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5.45Maine Maritime Academy-1.224.5%1st Place
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5.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 18.8% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 25.8% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 29.6% | 23.7% | 21.4% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 25.6% | 22.2% |
| Jack Valentino | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| John Egger | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 38.6% |
| Kai Latham | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 25.6% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.