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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.83+2.95vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.81+2.01vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.01+1.37vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.13+0.62vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.34-2.79vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.84-0.21vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.58-1.56vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.77-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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4.01Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.37Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.62Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.21Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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5.79Western Michigan University-1.840.1%1st Place
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5.44Northern Michigan University-1.580.1%1st Place
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5.62Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Ritter | 12.1% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Charles Rysenga | 12.9% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Twohey | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Kevin Jepeal | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Ryan Mabie | 40.8% | 26.4% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Klose | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 30.1% |
| Evan Hardy | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 21.1% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.