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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.81+2.74vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.14vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.83+0.86vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.01-0.84vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.84-0.43vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.13-2.57vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.48-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Michigan Technological University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.14Western Michigan University0.340.4%1st Place
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3.86Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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5.54Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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4.16Michigan State University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.57Western Michigan University-1.840.1%1st Place
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4.43Purdue University-1.130.1%1st Place
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6.55Northern Michigan University-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rysenga | 12.8% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Mabie | 41.9% | 27.3% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 19.7% |
| Andrew Twohey | 10.9% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Elliott Klose | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| Kevin Jepeal | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Dykstra | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 22.7% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.