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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.19vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy-1.22+3.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.44vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.55+0.83vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.68-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Fairfield University0.4219.0%1st Place
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5.52Maine Maritime Academy-1.224.1%1st Place
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2.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7229.1%1st Place
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4.83Middlebury College-0.556.8%1st Place
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3.68Bates College0.0213.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.5%1st Place
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2.89University of New Hampshire0.6823.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 19.0% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| John Egger | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 38.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 29.1% | 25.3% | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 23.6% | 20.2% |
| Jack Valentino | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 4.9% |
| Kai Latham | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 23.4% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.