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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+1.90vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.02-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+0.28vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.55-1.03vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-1.22-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of New Hampshire0.6822.9%1st Place
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3.09Fairfield University0.4220.3%1st Place
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2.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7228.5%1st Place
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3.69Bates College0.0213.5%1st Place
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5.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.085.0%1st Place
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4.97Middlebury College-0.555.8%1st Place
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5.46Maine Maritime Academy-1.224.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 22.9% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 20.3% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 28.5% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Valentino | 13.5% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Kai Latham | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 26.5% | 30.5% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 25.6% | 22.2% |
| John Egger | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.