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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+7.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.70vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.06+3.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+1.61vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.42vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-0.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34+0.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.69vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.66vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-5.46vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-4.39vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-6.53vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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5.51Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.86Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.61Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.47Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.31Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 18.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.