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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.55+4.04vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.09vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.02+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-1.16vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-1.22+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Middlebury College-0.555.6%1st Place
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3.09Fairfield University0.4219.8%1st Place
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3.65Bates College0.0213.0%1st Place
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2.84University of New Hampshire0.6824.0%1st Place
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5.49Maine Maritime Academy-1.223.4%1st Place
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5.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.2%1st Place
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2.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Leshaw | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 26.2% | 23.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 19.8% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 13.0% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Grace Cannon | 24.0% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| John Egger | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 24.1% | 37.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 25.4% | 32.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 30.1% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.