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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.78vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06+6.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+4.39vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.71vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.67vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.38vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.76vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-0.94vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-0.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-3.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.20vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-4.38vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-6.52vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.53Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.06Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.14Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.34Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.62Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.48Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.31Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.