Race 1A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Evan Spalding 9.8% 10.6% 12.2% 12.8% 13.1% 12.8% 10.9% 7.7% 5.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Payne Donaldson 20.6% 21.8% 18.6% 14.4% 11.1% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Patrick McCarron 4.8% 5.5% 7.1% 9.8% 10.1% 12.5% 11.6% 13.2% 10.3% 8.6% 5.1% 1.7%
George Hambleton 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.3% 9.7% 11.7% 12.0% 11.2% 11.8% 9.0% 7.4% 2.8%
Aiden Keister 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.6% 13.6% 13.4% 14.9% 9.7%
Rayne Duff 32.4% 25.4% 17.0% 13.4% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick York 3.3% 3.0% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 11.4% 12.3% 12.7% 12.6% 10.8% 5.5%
Dax Thompson 12.4% 14.8% 16.2% 14.0% 14.2% 11.6% 7.2% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 5.0% 6.7% 6.0% 8.6% 11.1% 11.8% 14.2% 16.8% 10.8%
Ryan Magill 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 5.3% 6.0% 7.6% 10.3% 11.2% 12.0% 14.5% 15.0% 8.5%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 5.2% 7.0% 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 13.2% 12.8% 13.7% 9.2%
Ellary Boyd 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.9% 5.9% 9.9% 14.8% 51.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.