← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.82+9.52vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+4.69vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.14+6.27vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.18+4.72vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.59vs Predicted
-
6Boston College4.01-0.50vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.06+2.34vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.97+1.59vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.71-2.45vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.06-0.35vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.74-0.16vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.02-2.06vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.34-0.93vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.74-3.68vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.99-5.48vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.07vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.30-4.38vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.53-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.52Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
6.69Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.27Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.72Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.5Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
9.34Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.59Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.55College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.65Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.84Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.94University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.07Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.32Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.52University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.62Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
11.32Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 15.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.