Race 2A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 32.8% 26.0% 15.7% 12.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 23.3% 20.9% 18.9% 15.2% 9.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 12.8% 14.3% 16.0% 15.8% 13.4% 10.5% 8.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 8.5% 8.2% 12.5% 13.2% 13.8% 12.7% 11.1% 8.9% 5.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.2%
George Hambleton 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 7.9% 12.0% 10.3% 10.7% 12.8% 11.3% 9.6% 7.2% 2.5%
Ryan Magill 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 5.0% 6.8% 8.1% 9.8% 12.6% 13.4% 12.8% 14.1% 8.3%
Patrick York 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 7.8% 10.5% 12.4% 10.8% 11.7% 11.0% 11.2% 5.6%
Gus Schoenbucher 1.6% 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 5.8% 7.1% 8.8% 9.7% 11.6% 15.2% 16.9% 12.4%
Kristin Hess 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.3% 6.6% 7.4% 10.2% 10.7% 13.3% 13.0% 15.8% 8.5%
Patrick McCarron 5.3% 7.4% 8.4% 8.0% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 12.3% 9.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.8%
Aiden Keister 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 12.5% 15.2% 14.0% 9.7%
Ellary Boyd 0.7% 1.5% 1.0% 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 3.5% 4.7% 7.0% 8.6% 14.8% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.