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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.72+0.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+0.08vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-0.33+1.89vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.07-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-1.66vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.93-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.49-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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4.89Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.39Middlebury College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.34University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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5.71Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.01University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Pesch | 58.5% | 29.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Russell | 29.3% | 44.1% | 18.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keaton Burns | 2.5% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 18.9% |
| Scott Zolkos | 2.4% | 7.0% | 20.2% | 23.8% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 8.7% |
| Whit Durant | 4.0% | 6.6% | 21.2% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.1% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 42.2% |
| William Trumper | 2.2% | 4.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 23.9% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.