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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.86+3.13vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.20+1.14vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.91+1.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.83vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.62-1.03vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.92+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.85-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13American University-0.8612.8%1st Place
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3.14Virginia Tech-0.2021.4%1st Place
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4.39Penn State University-0.9111.5%1st Place
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3.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1521.9%1st Place
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3.97William and Mary-0.6214.2%1st Place
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6.17Catholic University of America-1.923.5%1st Place
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6.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.363.5%1st Place
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4.35University of Maryland-0.8511.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Hale | 21.4% | 23.1% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Erich Laughlin | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 4.3% |
| Langdon Wallace | 21.9% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Christian Aron | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 27.3% | 31.1% |
| Grace Hartman | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 20.2% | 50.3% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.