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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06+6.56vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.63vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.31vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+2.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.21vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-0.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+1.36vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-0.12vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-4.77vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-4.39vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.27vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.61Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.56Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.31Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.25Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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12.36Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.88Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.32Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.