Race 3A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 31.8% 24.9% 18.9% 11.8% 7.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 8.5% 10.0% 12.7% 11.7% 15.9% 13.4% 10.8% 8.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Payne Donaldson 21.4% 20.7% 17.5% 16.2% 9.4% 6.9% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 5.2% 5.8% 8.0% 8.2% 11.2% 12.2% 11.9% 11.9% 12.2% 7.5% 4.7% 1.3%
Aiden Keister 2.8% 3.4% 5.1% 4.1% 6.0% 6.6% 8.3% 10.3% 13.1% 13.3% 16.7% 10.4%
Ryan Magill 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 5.5% 6.7% 8.0% 11.2% 11.2% 12.2% 13.9% 12.2% 9.0%
Patrick York 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 6.9% 7.0% 9.3% 11.5% 11.4% 12.8% 12.2% 11.4% 5.3%
Dax Thompson 12.8% 14.8% 14.5% 15.4% 13.7% 11.4% 8.1% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.5% 6.6% 7.6% 9.0% 10.2% 12.2% 14.0% 14.1% 9.2%
George Hambleton 4.7% 4.9% 5.7% 8.5% 9.1% 11.2% 12.3% 13.7% 10.8% 10.6% 6.1% 2.5%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5.6% 7.0% 7.5% 9.5% 11.6% 15.4% 18.1% 12.3%
Ellary Boyd 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.5% 5.2% 6.4% 8.8% 15.5% 49.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.