Race 4A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 31.1% 23.6% 19.4% 11.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 9.4% 10.1% 11.5% 13.8% 12.6% 12.7% 11.6% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Dax Thompson 10.4% 14.8% 15.4% 15.4% 15.3% 11.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
George Hambleton 4.4% 5.0% 6.9% 8.2% 9.4% 10.9% 12.7% 11.4% 11.1% 10.1% 7.0% 3.0%
Payne Donaldson 23.1% 21.6% 19.0% 15.4% 8.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 5.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.0% 10.9% 11.0% 12.8% 11.4% 11.1% 9.2% 4.5% 1.4%
Kristin Hess 2.8% 3.7% 3.0% 5.1% 6.4% 8.2% 8.6% 11.8% 12.7% 14.1% 14.1% 9.3%
Aiden Keister 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 5.3% 5.5% 8.5% 8.6% 10.7% 13.1% 13.6% 16.8% 9.1%
Ryan Magill 2.4% 3.9% 3.8% 5.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.3% 12.3% 12.3% 14.5% 13.4% 8.1%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.9% 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 5.6% 6.2% 8.0% 10.8% 11.3% 14.5% 18.5% 12.4%
Patrick York 4.2% 4.2% 5.7% 6.0% 7.8% 10.2% 11.2% 12.2% 12.1% 11.5% 9.6% 5.2%
Ellary Boyd 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.0% 6.9% 8.5% 14.4% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.