Race 5A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 33.0% 27.1% 16.7% 11.6% 6.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 22.8% 21.8% 17.6% 13.7% 11.3% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 11.8% 13.6% 17.2% 14.1% 13.2% 11.0% 8.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Aiden Keister 2.7% 2.8% 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 7.7% 9.0% 11.2% 11.8% 14.5% 14.9% 9.8%
Evan Spalding 8.8% 9.8% 11.8% 13.0% 14.1% 13.1% 11.1% 8.2% 5.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
George Hambleton 4.1% 4.7% 6.3% 9.2% 9.1% 10.8% 12.7% 11.9% 12.0% 9.8% 6.8% 2.6%
Patrick York 2.6% 4.3% 5.1% 7.0% 7.8% 9.7% 10.5% 12.0% 13.1% 11.7% 10.9% 5.3%
Kristin Hess 3.3% 2.9% 4.4% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 9.6% 10.9% 11.7% 14.1% 13.4% 9.8%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 5.3% 6.3% 8.6% 9.8% 13.0% 13.3% 18.4% 12.6%
Ryan Magill 2.4% 3.8% 4.2% 5.3% 6.7% 8.1% 10.0% 10.8% 12.2% 15.2% 14.2% 7.1%
Patrick McCarron 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 9.9% 10.8% 12.5% 11.5% 11.5% 10.5% 8.2% 4.7% 1.5%
Ellary Boyd 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 3.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 15.3% 51.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.