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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.68vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+7.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+6.18vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.67vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.06+2.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.18vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.69vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34+2.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30+0.77vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.71-6.44vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-3.70vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-3.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.35vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.09vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.06-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.96Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.18Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.89Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.54Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.3Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.5Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 19.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.