Race 6A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 34.0% 26.3% 16.2% 11.9% 5.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Hambleton 4.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 9.8% 11.3% 11.8% 11.1% 10.8% 9.8% 7.0% 3.1%
Payne Donaldson 19.9% 21.8% 20.4% 14.2% 10.2% 7.3% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 10.5% 10.8% 12.2% 13.1% 14.1% 11.7% 10.5% 7.4% 5.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Dax Thompson 13.1% 12.9% 15.4% 16.4% 13.9% 10.4% 7.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Ellary Boyd 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 6.8% 10.0% 14.1% 50.5%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 3.9% 6.2% 6.0% 8.6% 10.0% 11.8% 15.7% 17.8% 11.9%
Patrick McCarron 5.1% 6.3% 8.5% 9.0% 10.8% 12.8% 12.2% 11.8% 10.3% 6.9% 5.0% 1.4%
Aiden Keister 2.8% 1.8% 3.5% 5.1% 6.3% 8.1% 9.1% 11.6% 11.9% 14.0% 15.8% 10.2%
Patrick York 3.0% 3.8% 4.7% 6.3% 8.0% 10.4% 10.9% 12.7% 11.8% 12.0% 11.1% 5.2%
Kristin Hess 1.8% 2.7% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.8% 10.7% 11.8% 12.2% 14.6% 14.1% 9.1%
Ryan Magill 2.2% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 8.1% 10.0% 11.3% 14.6% 12.8% 13.7% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.