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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+8.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+7.58vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.26vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+5.56vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.06+2.25vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-1.53vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.01vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-0.95vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-3.42vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.52vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.38vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.36vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-4.40vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.92Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.58Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.56Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.25Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.53College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.05Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 19.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.