Race 7A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 33.0% 26.1% 16.2% 11.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 8.6% 8.8% 13.8% 14.2% 12.4% 13.2% 10.0% 9.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Dax Thompson 13.7% 13.1% 15.2% 14.3% 14.5% 10.4% 8.4% 5.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Ellary Boyd 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.7% 3.4% 5.2% 6.8% 8.8% 14.8% 51.4%
Payne Donaldson 20.8% 20.9% 19.7% 15.0% 10.0% 6.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 6.6% 8.1% 9.5% 10.8% 12.5% 13.6% 15.4% 9.0%
Patrick McCarron 5.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 10.8% 12.5% 11.4% 10.4% 8.2% 4.6% 1.4%
Aiden Keister 2.3% 2.9% 3.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 10.9% 9.1% 13.5% 14.6% 13.7% 8.9%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 5.6% 6.9% 7.9% 10.2% 12.0% 14.3% 16.6% 13.0%
Patrick York 3.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 8.5% 9.9% 10.5% 12.7% 10.9% 13.2% 10.4% 5.1%
George Hambleton 4.5% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 9.0% 11.5% 12.8% 11.3% 11.5% 9.2% 7.1% 3.1%
Ryan Magill 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.1% 6.3% 8.3% 8.9% 12.3% 13.1% 13.9% 14.8% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.