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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.84vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+7.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.70vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.58vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.06+4.23vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+0.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.13vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+1.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-1.29vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.67vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-2.77vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-4.36vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-7.13vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-4.40vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.2Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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5.7Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.23Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.28Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.96Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.64Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.5% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 18.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.