Race 8A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Payne Donaldson 20.3% 21.1% 19.3% 14.1% 10.5% 7.4% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 32.2% 26.7% 17.0% 11.6% 7.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 15.0% 13.2% 14.5% 15.6% 13.6% 11.1% 7.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Patrick McCarron 5.5% 5.7% 7.1% 10.2% 11.3% 12.0% 12.2% 11.5% 10.0% 8.8% 4.2% 1.6%
Aiden Keister 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 7.1% 9.8% 11.8% 12.6% 11.9% 15.2% 8.8%
Kristin Hess 2.1% 3.9% 3.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 9.3% 10.8% 12.6% 15.3% 15.0% 9.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.5% 3.1% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 8.4% 8.8% 10.2% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0% 10.1%
Patrick York 2.6% 4.0% 5.1% 6.9% 8.3% 9.0% 12.4% 11.9% 12.1% 12.5% 10.8% 4.3%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 3.7% 5.3% 6.7% 9.2% 11.1% 12.2% 13.9% 15.8% 12.8%
Evan Spalding 8.2% 9.5% 12.7% 14.1% 14.0% 13.0% 10.9% 7.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Ellary Boyd 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.8% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 8.8% 14.1% 50.8%
George Hambleton 5.2% 4.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 10.9% 10.8% 12.5% 12.2% 10.1% 7.3% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.