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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.54vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+10.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+8.78vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.46vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.64vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+4.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-1.47vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.38vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-3.72vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.14-6.07vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.06-6.60vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-4.40vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.65Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.78Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.64College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.66Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.68Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.93Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 17.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.2% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 18.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.