Race 9A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Payne Donaldson 20.0% 22.8% 18.4% 15.2% 11.1% 6.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 33.7% 24.8% 18.2% 11.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 9.4% 10.8% 12.0% 12.6% 12.5% 13.8% 9.8% 8.9% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1%
George Hambleton 4.9% 4.6% 6.2% 9.0% 9.6% 10.4% 12.1% 13.3% 10.2% 10.2% 6.2% 3.3%
Dax Thompson 14.1% 14.5% 14.7% 14.5% 14.3% 10.8% 8.2% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Kristin Hess 2.8% 3.4% 5.1% 5.2% 6.9% 7.6% 9.7% 9.2% 12.8% 13.8% 13.9% 9.8%
Patrick McCarron 5.0% 5.6% 6.5% 9.8% 10.6% 11.8% 12.9% 11.8% 10.6% 8.3% 5.7% 1.6%
Patrick York 2.5% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 7.6% 9.8% 10.9% 12.2% 13.3% 11.3% 11.1% 4.9%
Aiden Keister 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.9% 7.7% 10.1% 10.5% 12.7% 15.0% 15.0% 10.0%
Ellary Boyd 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.7% 7.5% 8.5% 15.2% 50.1%
Ryan Magill 2.6% 2.9% 4.4% 6.1% 6.2% 8.2% 9.4% 11.7% 11.8% 15.4% 12.8% 8.6%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 11.1% 11.8% 13.2% 18.6% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.