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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+9.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+8.97vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+6.00vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+4.40vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.62vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.63vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+2.56vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.06+0.24vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-0.73vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.60vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-7.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-2.56vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.65vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-5.29vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.97Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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6.62College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.56Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.24Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.27Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.44Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.71Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 17.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 17.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.