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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.06vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+6.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+7.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+1.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.06+3.30vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-0.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+2.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.67vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-0.77vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-0.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-0.93vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-3.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-2.07vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.37vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.49vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.25vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.21Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.23Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.88Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.31Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.