Race 1B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Holly Tullo 4.1% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.4% 5.6% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 5.1% 6.8% 7.3% 9.0% 8.8% 11.2% 7.0%
Grace Lucas 6.2% 7.1% 6.9% 7.9% 5.9% 7.1% 5.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.9% 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 4.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
Morgan Kiss 16.2% 13.5% 12.7% 10.8% 10.3% 7.5% 6.9% 6.5% 5.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Devon Rohde 2.1% 4.1% 2.5% 4.1% 4.1% 3.3% 4.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.7% 10.1% 10.3% 10.6% 11.8%
Corina Radtke 3.8% 6.7% 5.5% 4.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.9% 5.2% 6.7% 6.4% 7.3% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 6.0% 2.8%
Johanna Kincaid 5.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 7.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.5% 5.3% 5.8% 8.5% 6.3% 7.5% 7.4% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2%
Carolyn Smith 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 4.7% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 7.9% 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 3.3% 0.9%
Allyson Donahue 7.7% 8.7% 8.8% 7.5% 6.7% 7.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.5% 6.1% 4.7% 6.4% 4.5% 5.4% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Rachel Bryer 10.9% 11.0% 10.6% 11.0% 9.7% 9.4% 7.1% 6.5% 6.1% 5.0% 4.3% 3.2% 2.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.3%
Solvig Sayre 3.9% 3.0% 4.9% 5.3% 4.6% 5.7% 4.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.0% 6.4% 7.4% 9.0% 6.5% 7.8% 4.3%
Sarah Williams 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 5.1% 6.9% 6.1% 6.0% 7.1% 7.1% 5.4% 4.8% 2.6% 1.5%
Emily Lynn 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 4.9% 3.0% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 6.6% 9.5% 16.4% 27.6%
Amina Brown 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 4.1% 4.7% 6.3% 8.0% 7.4% 5.6% 6.6% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 5.3% 6.3% 4.5% 3.4%
Hannah Polster 8.1% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 8.0% 6.9% 6.0% 7.3% 5.6% 7.1% 6.6% 5.1% 4.5% 1.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Katia DaSilva 9.2% 8.7% 7.9% 7.8% 8.0% 5.5% 7.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.9% 4.1% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
Sophie Bermudez 2.9% 1.7% 4.5% 4.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 4.4% 6.0% 7.7% 6.6% 7.4% 7.1% 7.9% 9.7% 9.3% 6.4%
Heidi Hood 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 3.7% 6.3% 5.9% 9.5% 16.3% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.