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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.86+3.14vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.20+1.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.12vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.91+0.46vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.62-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85-1.78vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.92-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14American University-0.8612.3%1st Place
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3.15Virginia Tech-0.2022.7%1st Place
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3.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1523.2%1st Place
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4.46Penn State University-0.919.1%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary-0.6215.6%1st Place
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4.22University of Maryland-0.8512.0%1st Place
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6.19Catholic University of America-1.923.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.362.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Hale | 22.7% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Langdon Wallace | 23.2% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Erich Laughlin | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 15.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| Christian Aron | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 28.6% | 30.3% |
| Grace Hartman | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.