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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.72+0.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+0.08vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.33+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.87vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.07-2.63vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.93-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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4.88Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.37University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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5.13University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.37Middlebury College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.59Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Pesch | 57.9% | 29.6% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Russell | 30.0% | 43.2% | 18.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Keaton Burns | 2.7% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
| Whit Durant | 2.3% | 7.7% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 7.5% |
| William Trumper | 1.6% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 24.3% |
| Scott Zolkos | 3.9% | 6.1% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.6% | 3.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.