Race 3B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Sophie Bermudez 4.7% 3.3% 4.8% 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.0% 4.6% 5.8% 5.8% 7.1% 7.4% 9.3% 8.6% 8.3% 6.1%
Holly Tullo 3.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.9% 4.9% 5.8% 5.9% 5.5% 8.5% 9.3% 10.8% 9.9% 7.2%
Carolyn Smith 5.7% 6.1% 5.8% 6.5% 6.2% 5.9% 6.9% 6.1% 5.6% 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 6.9% 6.5% 5.0% 3.6% 2.5%
Devon Rohde 2.7% 3.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 5.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 5.7% 6.1% 5.0% 8.1% 8.1% 11.1% 11.7% 11.8%
Emily Lynn 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 3.0% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.7% 4.2% 5.6% 5.7% 7.0% 11.2% 14.7% 25.6%
Sarah Williams 5.8% 5.4% 6.4% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 6.5% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Allyson Donahue 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 7.6% 9.1% 6.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 5.6% 4.3% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Morgan Kiss 18.0% 14.4% 11.1% 10.8% 9.0% 8.1% 6.4% 6.2% 4.9% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Lucas 5.3% 5.4% 6.6% 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 7.1% 6.7% 8.5% 5.9% 7.4% 5.9% 6.4% 5.0% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4%
Katia DaSilva 7.3% 8.7% 8.8% 8.5% 9.1% 9.1% 5.4% 8.3% 6.3% 6.0% 6.7% 4.3% 3.5% 3.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Heidi Hood 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 5.5% 7.1% 9.1% 16.1% 29.2%
Rachel Bryer 11.9% 12.7% 10.5% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 6.5% 7.1% 5.2% 5.2% 3.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Solvig Sayre 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.8% 6.3% 5.7% 7.1% 6.7% 7.5% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 4.8%
Amina Brown 4.8% 5.2% 5.1% 5.6% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 6.5% 7.2% 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 7.5% 6.7% 5.4% 1.9%
Hannah Polster 8.4% 8.4% 7.3% 8.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.8% 5.7% 4.0% 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 1.0%
Corina Radtke 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 5.7% 5.6% 7.1% 5.6% 8.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.7% 6.1% 3.6%
Johanna Kincaid 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 5.1% 5.6% 7.8% 5.2% 8.0% 6.6% 6.8% 5.7% 4.4% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.